Thursday, November 19, 2009

End of 2009 Tax Planning

With the end of 2009 comes tax planning opportunities for individuals and business owners. Here is a list of tax issues to consider:
  • Generally, if you owe a debt to someone and they cancel or forgive that debt, the cancelled amount may be taxable.
  • Required Minimum Distributions (RMD's) for retirement accounts are not mandatory this year.
  • The estate tax for 2009 is 45% on anything over $3.5 million. The tax is set to go to 0% for one year in 2010 but democrats are expected to change that law.
  • Job hunting expenses such as miles driven, parking, tolls, long distance calls and other costs may be deductible.
  • Home buyer tax credit is expanded to first time buyers and buyers who have been in their primary residence for five consecutive years out of the last eight.
  • If you have capital losses you can carry them forward to offset capital gains you may have in 2009. The current capital gains rate is 15% for most tax filers.
  • Even if you don't have capital gains you can use up to $3,000 of capital losses to offset ordinary income.
  • Annual Gift Tax Exclusion is $13,000 per individual. This amount can be given to an unlimited amount of people.
  • Sales tax and excise tax deduction on the first $49,500 for new vehicles purchased from February 17th to the end of 2009. Of course, there are income phase outs.
  • Energy efficient tax credits which allow up to 30% of the cost of energy improvements to your main residence. The credit maxes out at $1,500 for a combined two year period.

Thursday, November 5, 2009

ERISA Rule On Who Can Provide Investment Advice For Retirement Plans

There is confusion by employers and participants of who can legally provide investment advice to their 401k or other qualified retirement plans.

In September of 2009, the Department of Labor kept in tack the rule that only allows independent registered investment advisor's with a fiduciary responsibility to provide investment advice to plan participants. The reason for this rule is to separate product salesman (brokers, mutual fund and insurance companies) from providing advice because conflicts of interest may exist and they may steer plan sponsors and participants towards affiliated funds.

Registered investment advisor's (RIA) are regulated under the Investment Advisor's act of 1940 which requires RIA's to always act the client's best interest (fiduciary duty) and to disclose all conflicts of interest. RIA's are also paid directly by the client and do not receive commissions.

Plan sponsors and participants may believe they are getting one on one service but words mean things and brokers/insurance companies call the service they provide as "guidance" or "education." They know they can't give specific instructions to buy or sell a particular investment or provide asset allocation recommendations because they will run afoul of ERISA and internal compliance rules.

Many people including human resource managers and employees are realizing they are not receiving the advice they need to make their retirement plans successful. According to Hewitt & Associates, in 2007 twenty-nine percent of employers offer one-on-one financial counseling, up from 22% in 2005. I would venture to guess that this number has increased after last years financial meltdown and subsequent losses in clients retirement plans.






Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Credit Score: The Factors Affecting It

Credit scores are an important piece of your financial life. They affect the interest rate you pay on a car loan, home mortgage, and whether or not you are approved for a credit card.

Your particular score will depend on the credit bureau providing the FICO score. Equifax, Experian, and TransUnion are the three credit bureaus and they each have their own formula for calculating your score. Your score will range from a low of 300 to a high of 850 with a higher number being better.

The reason credit scores are tabulated is to predict your future credit success or failure on that specific date. Your score is not dependent on your income, employment or your assets. The bureau's look at the amount you owe on your most recent statements, making your available credit the most important factor. Having a lot of credit cards is not detrimental to your credit score as long as the total balance on all credit cards is low. In fact, about 30% of your FICO score is based on the total debt outstanding.

The most important factor in determining your score is timely payments. One late payment will stay on your credit report for up to one year, very late payments stay for two or three years, and collections and bankruptcies can last up to seven years.

Some people worry about opening checking accounts or looking at cars because they think their credit scores will drop. Some may look into your credit history so it is better to ask if they will do so and proceed from there. If you are looking for a new car or buying a house and have multiple inquiries, as long as they happen within a few weeks of each other, they will only count as one credit check. These credit checks will stay on your record for up to a year.

Index Funds Win Again

In October, Morningstar Inc. released a study between actively managed mutual funds and passively managed (index) mutual funds. The study found that active management loses on a risk adjusted basis.

Here are the details: Over the past three years, while nearly half of actively managed funds beat their benchmark index, only 37% beat the benchmark on a risk, size, and style basis. The results are similar when covering five and ten year returns.

Explanation: Managers take on greater risks with the purchases they make. Some risk comes in the form of buying stocks that are speculative or holding concentrated positions in a stock. When a manager takes on those risks the investor should receive a greater return. This is how bonds work where lower rated bonds with a higher risk of default pay a higher interest rate than high grade bonds with low risk of default. The study showed that investors are not receiving a higher return for the added risks on their money.

Another part of the Morningstar study emphasizes the benefit of using passively managed index funds. In absolute returns, over the past five years only two out of nine Morningstar style boxes had more than 50% of active managers beat their indexes.


Thursday, September 17, 2009

Time To Buy?

Should I buy? Should I sell? Right now, many people are wondering if they should buy stocks since the S&P 500 is up 57% since the lows in March.

The stock market is a barometer for future economic activity. Expectations by economists and financial analysts are 3.5% growth in the 3rd quarter and 4% over the next year. One has to ask, what has changed? and where will this growth come from?

Think of: cash for clunkers, first time home buyer credit, $1 trillion added to the national debt, etc. This is government steroids that can not go on forever.

The personal savings rate is at levels not seen since the 1950's. Unemployment is going up. Businesses are cutting prices and keeping inventories lean. People are fearful and that is why gold is over $1,000.

Fundamentally, economic data is not good. The U.S. dollar is losing value, bonds prices are rising and yields are falling, unemployment is going up, and wages are falling. History tells us that returns like we are experiencing today happen when the economy has been growing for a number of quarters and jobs are being added.

In the 2000 to 2002 recession, we had a 21% up move from September 2001 to January 2002 because investors felt we were out of the recession. Over the next 10 months, the S&P 500 fell 31.7%.

Their is a lot of hope and not much data to support the current stock market rally.


Tuesday, September 1, 2009

College Student Insurance Options and Savings

Many children have headed off to college over the last couple of weeks. If you are parent who has a child in college be sure to review your various insurance policies to protect your child and possibly save you money.

Auto Insurance: If the campus your child attends is at least 100 miles away and their car stays at home you should qualify for a discount on your premium. How much will depend on how much your premiums increased when you added your child to your policy.

Student Housing: A student's dorm room qualifies as an additional room on your home owner's insurance. Coverage is usually limited to 10% of the amount of your total insured possessions. As an example, if your home is worth $500,000 and you have 50% coverage for the contents of your house, the insurer will pay up to $250,000 for the contents of your home. Anything in your child's dorm room would be covered up to $25,000. If the student lives off campus you will need to purchase a separate renter's policy to cover the child's personal items.

Health Coverage: Full time students are covered under a parents policy until age 23 or possibly older. Some states have extended the age limit so check your state's rules. Individual policies for 18 to 24 year old students cost an average of $1,284 according to eHealthInsurance.com

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

What Peterson Wealth Advisory Provides

When deciding whether or not to work with Peterson Wealth Advisory individuals should remember what we do and what we don't do.

What we do:
  • Provide advice that is in the client's best interest. This means that if a client comes to me with an idea that doesn't make sense for their situation I have a duty to tell them so and not follow them blindly.
  • The heart of what we do is create and implement comprehensive financial plans so client's are prepared to handle all of life's financial needs.
  • Challenge you to think about and answer tough financial questions.
  • Have you complete a budget.
  • Invest your money in low cost exchange traded index funds.
  • Use highly diversified asset allocation models with the goal of managing risk and providing returns without extreme ups and downs.
  • Evaluate all of your insurance policies to make sure you are protected and possibly save you money.
  • Look for ways to limit taxes.
  • Consult with the client's CPA, estate planning attorney and other advisor's to make sure we are trying to accomplish the clients goals.
  • Be your advocate
  • Remind you when you are straying from your goals.
  • Help you allocate all your investments including 401(k)
  • Meet with client's children and grandchildren to teach them about money.
  • Help you make decisions about home financing, car purchases, business succession.
  • Set up individual and business retirement plans.
  • Establish 529 college savings plans.
  • Disclose all conflicts of interest.
  • Disclose all costs.
  • Free to use investments that we believe are best for the client.
  • Fee-only compensation paid directly by the client.

What we don't do:
  • We don't offer hot stock picks.
  • We don't sell insurance or products.
  • We don't deviate from our chosen investments. If we are evaluated based on performance then we are going to invest in what we believe in.
  • We don't day trade.
  • We don't work for a brokerage firm or a bank.
  • We don't hide fees.
  • We don't receive kickbacks.
  • We don't work with one fund company.
  • We don't buy stocks or funds based on TV personalities recommendations.


Monday, August 24, 2009

Bonds: Index Funds beat Active Managers

Mutual Fund companies spend millions of dollars trying to convince you that they have the smarts to beat the market and earn more money for you. Another blow to active fund managers performance was announced last week, this time to bond fund managers.

A study by Standard & Poor's found that on an asset-weighted basis (calculated on a equal money basis) index returns beat beat actively managed fund returns in all 13 fixed income categories over one and three year periods, and in 11 of 13 categories over five years.

Over five years, average annualized returns for investment grade long term bond funds lost to the benchmark index by 2.7%. Similarly, each year high yield bond funds lost to the benchmark index by 1.9%.

For mortgage backed securities funds, 98% lagged the benchmark over five years. Long term investment grade corporate bond funds lost to the benchmark index 92% of the time over 5 years.

Thursday, July 23, 2009

Importance of Long-Term Care Insurance

As the average life expectancy of individuals has increased over the years so has the importance of long-term care insurance.

Consider these stats:
  • The average life expectancy of a child born today is 78 years.
  • If you and your spouse both reach age 65, one of you should expect to live to age 90.
  • The U.S. senior population (65 and older) is expected to increase 40% in the next 5 years.
  • 52% of all current senior citizens in the U.S. have a disability.
  • For people age 80 or older, the disability rate is 71%.
  • Female in the senior population are 11% more likely to have a disability than senior males.
Modern medicine and changes in lifestyle have contributed to the overall increase in life expectancy. However, advances in science will only do so much before we all will need help. Many people do not realize how likely they are to need assistance completing daily activities nor do they understand the expense in acquiring these services.
  • more than half the women and about one-third of the men who reach age 65 will spend some time in a nursing home
  • seven out of 10 couples can expect at least one partner to use a nursing home after age 65;
  • the average cost of a nursing home is about $73,000 per year
  • half of all older Americans who live alone will spend themselves into poverty after only 13 weeks in a nursing home
  • 56% of couples spend their income down to the poverty level after one spouse has spent six months in a nursing home
  • two out of five people 65 and over will need long-term care. Half will stay in a facility six months or less, while the other half will stay an average of two and a half years.

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Rebalancing

Investors build diversified portfolios to take advantage of the varied returns of different assets/investments. One risk in diversification is that over time, better performing assets will become a larger portion of the portfolio and change the risk of the portfolio.

As an example, starting in 2000 a portfolio with 50% in the S&P 500 and 50% in the Lehman U.S. Aggregate Bond index would have had just under 60% in bonds at the end of 2007.

One way to avoid this drift is to periodically rebalance a portfolio back to its target asset allocation. Rebalancing helps reduce risk and reduce the severity of fluctuations in account value.

It is wise to set a schedule for rebalancing, say on your birthday or semi annually. This helps take the emotion out of when to buy or sell. Or set percentage ranges, say up or down 5% from your desired allocation.

The strategy you choose should be based on the type of account and how the changes will be made. Taxable accounts should be rebalanced with new money or with offsetting gains and losses. This is done to limit or avoid paying taxes and limit trading costs. In retirement accounts, rebalancing is easier because you don't have to worry about taxes but you still have to consider trading costs.


Tuesday, June 2, 2009

U.S. Dollar Lower = Higher Gas Prices

Now that the U.S. Government owns 60% of GM and making decisions for the company expect higher gas prices and a weak U.S. dollar.

The Obama administration and its environmental ilk want drivers to burn less gas because they believe it causes global warming. To burn less gas Obama will have GM build small, less safe but more fuel efficient cars. The only problem is people do not want to buy those types of cars.

The only way the purchase of GM by the government can be successful is if the small cars they produce sell. And, as we know from high gas prices last year, people only buy small cars when gas prices are above $3 a gallon. So, how does the Obama administration raise gas prices without raising fuel taxes or putting price controls on oil? Weaken the value of the U.S. dollar.

The price of oil is denominated in dollar terms so the price is not only affected by the supply and demand of oil but also the value of the U.S. dollar. When the dollar loses value it takes more dollars to purchase the same amount of oil and, as you know, when the price of oil goes up the price of gas goes up.

Expect high gas prices and a weak U.S. dollar for the foreseeable future.




Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Is Your Legacy Plan in Order?

Who do you trust to distribute the assets you have accumulated throughout your life? A judge, or a close relative/friend? If you do not have proper legal documents, a state judge will make those decisions for you. One of the most important and often ignored aspects of financial planning is what I call legacy planning. This deals with how your estate (the things you own and your well being) is handled and distributed while alive and after your passing. When meeting with new clients, I often find they have no legacy plan or instructions in place for such issues as the handling of their assets, medical decisions, or guardianship for their minor children.

If you do not have a will, the state in which you live will provide one for you. They call this “dying intestate,” which means you gave up the opportunity to distribute your assets as you want. Instead, you have essentially hired the state to figure it out for you. Laws vary from state to state, but they all have one thing in common: without a will all of your assets may not pass to your spouse and children.

Wills are just the first step. You also need a medical directive and a durable power of attorney. These documents apply if you become disabled and cannot make decisions on your own. A power of attorney (POA) gives authorization to act on someones behalf in a legal or business matter. The person you designate POA will do such things as pay your bills, make financial decisions, and medical decisions. If your condition is so severe that you can be kept alive only by artificial means, or if you need an operation but cannot make that decision because you are incapacitated, your medical directive allows another person of your choice to act on your behalf, honoring your preferences.

Without proper planning, your heirs will have to contend with probate court, possibly in several states. The process involves extensive time delays and high legal fees, and the release of private information to the public. Another potential problem of not having a comprehensive legacy plan is higher tax obligations to federal and state governments.

I know that it may seem costly to hire an estate planning attorney create a will and other legacy planning documents. However, having proper legal structure will cost you less in legal fees, shield more of your assets, lessen the stress on those left behind, and give you peace of mind that your wishes will be fulfilled.

Friday, March 27, 2009

10 Most Common Personal Finance Questions

Throughout my years of working with and managing peoples financial matters I have fielded many questions related to finance. Surprisingly, many of the questions and concerns people have are similar. Here are the top 10 questions/statements I hear and my response to each.

1. “Putting my money in the stock market is like gambling.”

Really? If you went to the casino everyday for 70 years, your money would have grown an average of 12% a year? I don’t think so. The S&P 500 had average returns of 12.17% from 1926 to 2007. Sure we are in a down cycle now but give it a little time and you will wish you were invested in stocks.

2. “Why should I buy bonds, they are so boring?”

Bonds have had positive returns in each of the last 9 years, even before interest payments are added and bonds have beaten stocks in 5 of the last 9 years. If you add in the yield, bonds have outperformed stocks in 6 of 9 years. Everyone should own bonds in their portfolio because they help your portfolio with steady returns.

3. “Even though the individual stocks I own are down 60 to 70%, why should I sell?”

It is hard to admit your decisions were wrong but they were. The stocks you own are crap and you shouldn’t wait to see if they turn around. Take advantage of the tax losses, which you can use to offset future gains and put together a portfolio that is less likely to have huge losses.

4. “I plan on putting all this extra cash (equity) from selling my house into a down payment on my next house.”

Locking up all your cash in an illiquid asset like a house is a bad idea because you should have access to a certain amount of cash for when times get tough or an unforeseen event happens. Plus, the government provides a huge deduction for mortgage interest, which effectively lowers your interest rate therefore giving you the potential to earn higher returns in other assets when you invest that money.

5. “I put all my money back into my business.”

Again, a business is illiquid and though putting some of your earnings back into it is wise, some of the money should be invested in a diversified mix of assets including equities, bonds, and cash. This will give you flexibility in later years if you want to slow down but not yet sell, the timing to sell is not favorable, or your business is no longer viable or relevant.

6. “What do you think the market is going to do?”

I honestly don’t know and anyone who says they do is a liar and you should not listen to them.

7. “Are you like Bernie Madoff?”

No. I use an unaffiliated third party custodian to transact trades and hold all client money and securities. No client money is held in my name or my company’s name.

8. “I only invest in real estate, it never goes to $0.”

True, land has not gone to $0. But real estate is not the be all end all asset. A lot of people thought home prices would continue to climb 20% forever and there was no risk to building more and more homes. Again, liquidity and diversification is important and as we are experiencing real estate is not a sure thing.

9. “What do you think about xyz stock?”

Individual stocks are a hard to evaluate and determine the level of risk in one company. No one thought GE would fall 70% in the last year or that the largest banks in the world would need billions from the government to survive. In order to limit the risk you are taking with your money buy diversified funds spread out among many asset classes.

10. “I want to live life and not worry about saving.”

Instead of looking to the government or other family members to pay your bills in retirement you should be taking the responsibility yourself. Say you save $1,000 each year for the next 40 years instead of buying a whole new wardrobe or going out to eat 3 days a week. That $40,000 (40 years times $1,000) will grow to $487,852 if you have average investment returns of 10% a year. Denying yourself little pleasures now and saving for long periods of time will allow you to accumulate wealth so you may live a rich life in the future.

Thursday, March 19, 2009

Relative Return versus Absolute Return

When evaluating the performance of your investment portfolio, first you need to decide what is important. Are you trying to outperform an index by using actively managed funds or buying individual stocks? Or, do you have a specific rate of return you want each year? Deciding between the two will help you determine the type of investments to use, and if you need to use different fund managers or a different strategy.

 

Relative Return

Say you use actively managed mutual funds because you think they can do better than the market/index. Those managers are trying to beat a “benchmark index” which is comparable to their fund strategy. Through February 28, 2009 the Fidelity Magellan Fund was down 51.75% while the benchmark it compares itself to, the S&P 500, was down 43.32%. So, the relative return of Fidelity Magellan is negative 8.43%. The manager’s goal is to always beat the benchmark, not necessarily to have positive returns.

Many brokers focus on relative return because they have big egos and want to be the “best.” This can be in conflict to what clients want because the broker may take more risk than the client wants in the form of concentrated asset classes, active trading and chasing past performance.

 

Absolute Return

Hedge funds, college endowments at Yale and Harvard and certain financial advisors use absolute return to measure their performance. They start with a target rate of return to meet objectives, say 8%, then allocate assets in a way they believe will accomplish this goal. The return received in a specific period of time is absolute return. Ultimately, the goal is to always have positive returns.

Absolute return is most often accomplished by using a highly diversified mix of asset classes. Asset classes include stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, private equity, and real estate. By inputting average returns over long periods of time a person can manage the risk they take and the amount they will accumulate over time. 

Thursday, February 26, 2009

I Can’t Retire Yet. What do I do?

Many of the people I come into contact say, “I wish I would have started saving a long time ago. Then I could retire.” Or they say, “We should have been working with you earlier.” There are many factors which may have caused people’s nest egg to be too small to maintain their ideal retirement lifestyle: didn’t save enough, unexpected adversity, bad investment choices, started too late.

Going forward, you might be able to help your situation by seriously following this short list of strategies:


SAVE, SAVE, SAVE: This is so basic it should go without saying but you won’t have money to retire unless you sock money away. The golden rule was to save 12% of your monthly income but if you fell short of that amount for a number of years it is going to take more to catch up. Many of you are in your prime earning years and if you have kids they should be at an age that you shouldn’t be supporting them anymore (Older than college age is old enough). Discipline yourself to put money into your savings first (401(k), IRA’s, Taxable accounts), pay your bills, and then if you have extra money put it into your savings. An easy way to accomplish this is by setting up automatic deductions so you never have the money in your hands.

 

WORK A FEW MORE YEARS: Reality check. You don’t have enough money to retire so the only way to save more is to work more. The fact is, for every extra year you work that is one less year you will have to take money from your savings to live. On top of the extra savings you are accumulating, you should also be receiving supplements from your employer for health insurance, matching retirement contributions, and other perks that you won’t receive in retirement.

 

TAKE A PART-TIME JOB IN RETIREMENT: You have worked all these years and gained a high level of knowledge in your field. Use it to your advantage. Many companies allow employees to in a similar role but on a part time basis and by remote locations. Another factor to consider is that many people who go straight to retirement don’t know what to do with all of their spare time, become bored, and drive their spouses crazy.  Working part time will supplement your income, help pay monthly expenses, prolong your savings and provide a transition period between full time work and full time leisure.

 

RETIRE SOMEWHERE CHEAP: At the front of this idea is avoiding taxes. There are 7 states without income taxes (Washington, Florida, Texas, Wyoming, Alaska, Nevada, and South Dakota). There two other state which only tax dividends and interest income (Tennessee and New Hampshire).  Your yearly income will go farther in states that don’t tax it.

 

LIVE IN A SMALLER HOUSE: The idea here is to sell your larger house, take a portion of the proceeds to buy a smaller house which will have less upkeep, lower expenses (property taxes, energy, utilities, insurance) and put the left over equity into your retirement investments/savings.

 

KEEP A MORTGAGE: Locking up a large portion of your assets in a house is a bad idea. Because it is hard to pull money out of a house (and expensive to carry a line of credit) you should maintain a mortgage even in retirement. The advantages of having a mortgage are greater liquidity, tax leverage (federal tax credit for mortgage interest) and investment flexibility/diversification.

 

PROPERLY MANAGE YOUR INVESTMENTS: There is so much to know about managing an investment portfolio that you should use a qualified independent Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). They are compensated for the advice they provide and do not push products or charge exorbitant commissions. You are taking great risks by either being too aggressive or too conservative with your investments/savings. As an RIA, I will help you determine the optimal level of risk for your money, develop your personal investment plan and work with other professionals to make your plan efficient. 

Wednesday, February 11, 2009

Length of Past Recessions

I wanted to know how long each recession/depression lasted in the U.S., which started in the 1900’s. There have been 21 periods of contraction in our economy, the first starting in 1902. All together they averaged 14.4 months in length. The longest downturn was 43 months (August 1929 to March 1933) and the shortest was 6 months (January 1980 to July 1980)

Every contraction is different in length and cause but the one thing that they all have in common is that they all ENDED.  In fact, the recovery/expansion lasted an average of 43.2 months. That is 3 times as long as the recessions.

With all the layoffs and poor economic data coming out everyday it is natural to think it will never get better. We will recover, but the problem is no one knows exactly when and there will not be one thing that causes it to happen. Little positives will start to show up, like increased home purchases (already happening), consumer sentiment goes up, etc. Do not use the unemployment rate because history has shown the stock market starts to move up long before the unemployment goes up.

Invest your money in the stock market now so you won’t miss out on the growth.

 

Recession Data from   http://www.nber.org/cycles.html

 

 

As an aside: I have been reading the book “FDR’s Folly” where Jim Powell looks back at the policies of the New Deal and how they prolonged the depression. I just started reading it because I think there are many similarities to what the government did during the Great Depression and what Obama is doing now. I will share some thoughts on the book after I am finished.

Monday, February 2, 2009

What Does Chris Read?

Staying informed and up-to-date with financial planning, business and economic issues is an important part of my job. I continually draw from what I read now and what I have read over the past 18 years to provide the best advice to my clients.

If you read what I read, this will help you be as informed as I am. So, either take the time to read what is on this list, or rely on me to stay current and pass the information onto you.

Magazines:
Financial Planning
Financial Advisor
Inc.
Fast Company
Wall Street Journal
Florida Today
Space Coast Living
Space Coast Business
Forbes
Fortune
Worth
Robb Report
Research
Investment Advisor
Registered Rep
Wealth Manager
On Wall Street
Index Universe
Money

Books:

Basic Economics
Good To Great
The Future For Investors
The Black Swan
Values Based Estate Planning
Essential Buffett
Hermanisms
The Millionaire Next Door
Against the Dead Hand
Who's Afraid of Adam Smith
Millionaire Mind
The Art of War



Websites:

Seattle Times
KVNews
Florida Today
WSJ
Heritage Foundation
Hoover Institute
ETF Connect
Google Finance
Bloomberg
Journal of Financial Planning
Young Money
Vanguard
iShares
PowerShares

 

Thursday, January 29, 2009

10 Basic Investment Principles

10 Basic Investment Principles

 

Having an understanding of fundamental investment concepts is important for a number of reasons. Knowledgeable investors are more likely to follow their investment plan, are better able to evaluate investment choices, and stay rational in up and down market cycles.

 

Here are the basic principles everyone should know:

 

  1. Invest to Create Wealth

Saving is different from investing. Putting cash in a bank account is saving. Investing involves buying an asset in order to give you the opportunity to earn higher returns while assuming a certain level of risk. History has shown that overtime, investing in stocks can be beneficial because the average return has been 12%.[1]

  1. The Longer the Better

Investing on a regular basis over a long period of time is the best way to accomplish your long-term financial goals because of compounding interest. Compounding occurs as you reinvest your returns, those returns generate their own returns and increasing your wealth. If you invest $1,000 every year for 30 years (a total of $30,000), earning 8% every year, you will accumulate $330,240.

  1. Diversify

Dividing your money among various asset classes such as stocks, bonds, commodities, and cash allows you to limit losses in any given period of time. Each asset class has different risk characteristics and the amount you put in each will influence your gains or losses over time. Include as many broad asset classes as possible to help make your returns more predictable.

  1. Pay attention to Fees and Taxes

Investment costs reduce your returns. The average annual cost of an actively managed mutual fund is 1.5%. Add on the 1% fee to pay your financial advisor and you are in the hole 2.5% every year. Problem is the mutual fund is not outperforming the index and all the buying and selling they do creates taxes that you have to pay.

A better alternative are exchange traded funds (ETF’s) which offer low costs (Vanguard’s averages 0.16%) and little to no capital gains (Vanguard ETF’s had zero distributions in 2008).

  1. Rebalance Often

When your asset allocation moves from its original plan the risk you could be more or less. In order to keep your investments aligned with your goals, your investments should be rebalanced at least annually. Either use new money to buy the asset that is low or sell some of the winners and use the proceeds to buy the laggards.

  1. Frequent Buying and Selling Hurts

A 2004 Dalbar Study found that over the last 20 years the average investor earned only 3.51% per year while the S&P 500 averaged 12.98%.[2] This doesn’t account for the commissions for doing all the trades. The same rule applies to using actively managed stock mutual fund managers, 75% underperformed their benchmark in 2008 and 80% of bond fund managers underperformed their benchmark.[3]

  1. Create a Plan and Follow It

Your plan will give you confidence when times are bad and when times are good. It will be comprehensive in addressing all your financial matters, spell out all the things you want to accomplish, risk profile, asset allocation, and specify dates/milestones.

  1. Be a Contrarian

When things are up slow down your purchases. When things are down buy more.

  1. You Decide if You Are a Long Term Investor

Be honest with what you want to accomplish and how the amount of money you are willing to lose. Nothing is worse than buying stocks, losing half of your money and then deciding you can’t handle that much risk. You worked hard for your money and you want to invest it wisely and in a way that makes you comfortable. Instead of making your decisions based on percentages, convert it into dollar figures. Losing $10,000 has a different feeling than losing 10%.

  1. Work Only With a Registered Investment Advisor

Stockbrokers are not financial advisors. The SEC says so. Stockbrokers are salespeople, not advisors, says the Securities and Exchange Commission. If you want genuine financial advice that is in your best interests, work only with a Registered Investment Advisor.


[1] Average return of the S&P 500 from 1926 to 2007

[2] http://www.dalbarinc.com/content/showpage.asp?page=2004040101&r=/pressroom/default.asp&s=Return+To+Press+Releases

[3] Wall Street Journal, January 8, 2009 by John Bogle

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

So Many Things Are On Sale!

When you go to the mall, would you buy a sweater at full price or would you buy the exact same sweater for 40% off? Do you drive a mile or two farther to buy gas that is a penny cheaper?

With everyone looking for deals and bargains these days, it is time for investors to put some money to work in stocks and other investments. The S&P 500 is down 46% from its all time high, the NASDAQ is down 47%, a diversified ETF for commodities is down 65%. The list goes on and on of assets priced well below their highs of a little over a year ago.

No one knows where the bottom is and most people wait until it's too late and the majority of the gains have already occurred. Going back to 1900, if you took away the ten best days on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, two-thirds of the cumulative gains over the last 109 years would disappear.

Things are scary right now and many people have lost faith in investing. History has shown that we have experienced up and downs before and that average returns over time are positive. If you have 5+ years before you will need to use the money, you really should consider buying a group of diversified index funds.

Buy while its on sale!


Wednesday, January 21, 2009

10 Financial Planning Principles for Singles

1.   Create an Emergency Fund. Just because you are single does not mean you won’t have unexpected bills or won’t retire one day or have future responsibilities. You will have to pay for things married people do like health care, everyday living costs, etc. Save enough in your savings account to cover at least 8 months worth of monthly expenses.

2.   Set a Budget. Because you are single, you have an opportunity to save more than your friends who are married with children. Use that extra money to speed up the accomplishment of your short term and long term retirement goals. Instead of retiring at 65 or 70 you may be able to stop working at 50 or 55.

3.   Stay Out of Debt. Accumulating even small amounts of credit card debt can derail your long-term financial plans and keep you working for many more years. If you carry a balance of $5,000 with 18% interest and pay the minimum of 2% of the outstanding balance, it will take you 46 years to pay off the credit card.

4.   Invest in Passive Exchange Traded Funds (ETF’s). These are low cost (average Vanguard internal cost is 0.167%), tax efficient (Vanguard ETF’s had zero capital gains in 2008), and diversified investments.

5.   Stay Away from Actively Managed Mutual Funds. The average internal cost of a managed mutual fund is 1.50%[1]. In any given year 75 to 80% of actively managed mutual funds under perform their benchmark[2]. 

6.   Buy Disability Income Insurance. Often provided by your employer, it should provide you with 60% of your income if you become disabled and cannot work.

7.   Buy Long Term Care Insurance. You will need this to pay for home caregivers or nursing home care. Because you are single, you do not need to buy life insurance.

8.   Find an Estate Planning Attorney. They will help you draft a will, establish durable powers of attorney, and determine who will inherit your assets.

9.   Don’t Pay Your Mortgage Off Early. By keeping your mortgage you get a tax deduction, a lower payment thereby allowing you to invest more and grow your wealth.

10.      Stop Getting a Tax Refund. Basically, you are giving the government an interest free loan for money that is yours. Instead, talk to a tax expert on the number of exemptions to claim on your W-4 and try to make it so you neither owe the government money nor will get money back.


[1] http://www.investopedia.com/university/mutualfunds/mutualfunds2.asp

[2] http://www.reuters.com/article/pressRelease/idUS183834+13-Nov-2008+PRN20081113

Monday, January 19, 2009

10 Things to Do Before You Retire

1.    Establish Your Monthly Budget. Include all expenses including gifts, vacations, taxes, cars, and emergencies.

  1. Accumulate 12 months of cash to cover monthly expenses. You never now what may come up (job loss, major house repair, medical problem). You want to have a cushion built up so if something bad happens you are prepared to deal with it financially.
  2. Buy Long Term Care Insurance. Middle age can be the best time to buy because you have the highest likelihood of being eligible for the policy and the premiums can be much lower than if you wait until you are in your 70’s or 80’s.
  3. Predict the Cost of Health Care. As everyone knows, health care costs are rising faster than inflation. In 2008, health care costs rose 1.6% faster than consumer inflation.*  Since 1970, health care costs have risen about 2.4% faster than GDP.
  4. Refinance Your Mortgage. Most people in retirement cannot borrow money from in traditional forms. Especially now with new mortgage standards, it will be harder to finance major purchases without a job.
  5. Determine Your Sources of Income. Make sure you and financial advisor know exactly how much and where all of your dividends, interest, and other income will originate.
  6. Revise Your Investment Allocation/Strategy. What you did to accumulate your wealth while working will be different from how you spend it in retirement. You will need to adjust your investments to have less risk, more income, and be liquid.
  7. Review Your Will and Trusts. These documents are very important because they can protect you and your assets so that you can leave a legacy behind. Get all beneficiaries up to date and make sure all documents reflect your wishes.
  8. Set a Plan for Your Time. How will you spend your days? How often will you do your hobbies? Will this make you fulfilled or will you get bored after a month? Your kids may enjoy your company but not everynight.
  9. Make Sure You Really Want to Retire. Just because      you are 65 does not mean you have to retire. Many people are taking on new challenges whether they be with the same company, a new company, or going back to school. Consider part time work to keep your mind fresh and some extra income coming in.

Retirement should be an enjoyable time where you get to do what you want, when you want. By evaluating and planning now, you can make “retirement” the best 30+ years of your life.

*http://www.healthinflation.com/

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

We will survive

I was sitting in my office today and started to think about the bad economy and what is to come. Suddenly I noticed cars were driving by, the power was still on, and there was still food in the frig.

For all of the negative news and proclamations about how bad the economy is and will continue to be, people are still working, playing and living their lives. Sure, things aren't humming like they were two or three years ago but things are never as bad as they seem. Just like things are never as good as they seem.

Realize, you live in the best country in the world with unlimited opportunities to succeed. You don't have to participate in the recession. and you don't have to accept the same fate as the negative people surrounding you. 

Smile, be positive, and work a little harder. You will be that much better and happier.


chris@PetersonWealthAdvisory.com


Monday, January 12, 2009

Business Academy Stock Project

Today, I was a guest of the Melbourne High School Academy of Business and Finance where the students presented the results of their stock project. They researched and picked 10 publicly traded companies on the NASDAQ and/or NYSE to invest a hypothetical $50,000. They tracked the price of their stocks from the middle of November and concluded in the middle of December, and 2 groups of students that I saw made money.

The goal of the project was to introduce the students to the stock market, how to research publicly traded companies, and sell an investor on their recommendations. They learned how to look up stocks, quotes, ticker symbols, diversification, how the state of the economy will effect certain stocks.

Each group did a great job of diversifying amongst the different sectors and allocating their money depending on the perceived risk of a stock. Obviously, I would have liked to see them invest in index funds, but that will be in another lesson.

I am encouraged that the markets will thrive now and in the future because people are learning at younger ages about stocks, bonds, and other investment choices and how they can benefit their long term financial goals. I was proud to have helped these Mel High students learn some basics about investing.


Thursday, January 8, 2009

Expire = Taxes Are Going Up

Yesterday, Mr. Obama said that he will let the current tax rates "expire" in 2010. "Expire" is code for tax increases and no one should be fooled. 

With this pronouncement, we will see people will hoard there money because of the expectation they will have less in the future. People are rational and when they know they will have less money in the future they make adjustments today. 

My question is why wait to 2010? If it is okay to keep tax rates low now, while the economy is bad, why wouldn't he keep them low forever? The answer is he knows low taxes stimulate the economy and give businesses and entrepreneurs incentives to innovate and grow their business. By saying the taxes you pay now will be higher in the future, he effectively erases any benefit of our current lower rates.

Another point to think about is, when new tax cuts are proposed, don't put a life expectancy on the tax rates. Liberals are using the 2010 "expiration" and acting like lawyers and twisting words to their liking. Any movement up is an increase. In 2011 the following will take place:

  • The top income tax rate WILL go from 35% to 39.6%. THAT IS A TAX INCREASE.
  • The Capital Gains rate will go from 15% to 20%. THAT IS A TAX INCREASE.
  • The Estate Tax rate will go from 0 to 55%. THAT IS A TAX INCREASE.
A parting thought on taxes rebates. They give out rebates to make you think the government is paying you money from their own coffers. Remember, government exists because they take money away from working people through taxes and fees. If you receive a tax rebate and don't pay taxes, you aren't getting a tax cut. You are taking money from your fellow citizens who were forced to pay it to the government and then the government decides who should receive that money. It's called social engineering and it is detrimental to economic growth and capitalism.